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Economy Political Commentary

Philip Lowe Faces Parliament

#RBA #Economics #Australia Reserve Bank Governor Dr Philip Lowe Faced the Parliamentary Economics Committee in Canberra and was challenged on the recent rate cuts and the future of the Australian economy. The more I learn about Monetarism, the less confidence I have. References https://www.news.com.au/finance/economy/interest-rates/rba-accused-of-giving-up-on-stimulating-the-economy/news-story/f5f6ccf7ace28878b9c03404f9b89b82

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Political Commentary

Australian Interest Rate Unchanged

#RBA #InterestRate #CashRate The RBA has kept the cash rate unchanged at 1.00%. While our Reserve Bank Governor, Philip Lowe, states that the global economy remains reasonable and predicts growth for Australia, I am wondering if he is in a Monetarism bubble? References https://rba.gov.au/media-releases/2019/mr-19-20.html

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Economy

Can the RBA Save the Economy?

RBA #AusPOL #CashRate Can the RBA save the Australian Economy? Does anyone still think they actually can? References ‘Four bullets left’ to save Economy https://www.news.com.au/finance/economy/australian-economy/four-bullets-left-to-save-economy/news-story/f79bd146f7e50b5b7f2c7d3faa84317c China second-quarter GDP growth slows to 27-year low as trade war bites, more stimulus seen https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-economy-gdp/china-second-quarter-gdp-growth-slows-to-27-year-low-as-trade-war-bites-more-stimulus-seen-idUSKCN1U90P5

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Economy

Consumer Confidence Drops

#Australia #AusPOL #Recession Consumer and Business confidence has dropped in Australia. Looks like back to back interest rate cuts didn’t fill people with confidence for some reason? Reference Consumers most pessimistic in two years, despite tax and interest rate cuts https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-07-10/consumer-confidence-july-2019/11294948

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Economy

Australia is in Recession

#Australia #AusPOL #Recession GDP Per Capita has declined in Australia for the last two quarters, so for all intents and purposes, we are in a recession for the first time in 27 years. Our politicians need to use the R-word before the RBA starts playing with QE or negative interest rate. Perhaps some infrastructure projects […]

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Economy

Is the Market Predicting a Recession

#ASX #AusPOL #CashRate Both Equity and Bonds are rallying and analysis split over an impending market correction. Is this just smart investors moving funds into the equities market and hedging their bets or is the bond rally and market confusion a sign of impending recession? References Bonds https://www.asx.com.au/products/bonds.htm Trading View https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=ASX%3AXAO Share market correction may […]

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Political Commentary

The RBA Cut Rates to 1%

#RBA #AusPOL #CashRate The Reserve Bank of Australia Board has decided to cut the cash reserve interest rate to a record low 1%. While they hope “it will make further inroads into the spare capacity in the economy”, I cynically believe it will weaken consumer confidence even more. References Statement By Philip Lowe, Governor: Monetary […]