Heise Says
#Stockland #Profits #SGP Stockland’s profits are down 70% and they are currently halfway through a $1 billion divestment out of the retail sector. A sign that the retail recession is well underway. References STOCKLAND FY19 RESULT – FOCUS ON SUSTAINABLE RETURNS http://clients3.weblink.com.au/pdf/SGP/02136031.pdf
#CashBan #Australia #Money The ABC and SBS are finally reporting about the proposed cash transaction ban, 8 day’s after the due date for submissions to the treasury. What is the point? References Currency (Restrictions on the Use of Cash) Bill 2019 https://www.treasury.gov.au/consultation/c2019-t395788 Paying more than $10,000 in cash could make you a criminal under proposed […]
#Education #Economy #Recession The Government dominated sectors of Healthcare and Education are driving up our costs of living. Are subsidies or competition the solution? References Families feel squeeze as healthcare, education costs outpace inflation https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/families-feel-squeeze-as-healthcare-education-costs-outpace-inflation-20190819-p52ihv.html
#AusPOL #Economy #Recession Our government is apparently happy with the trajectory of the Australian Economy. Am I the only one who is sceptical? References Annual Report 2017 – 2018https://www.wgea.gov.au/sites/default/files/documents/wgea-annual-report-17-18.pdf https://www.news.com.au/national/breaking-news/finance-minister-backs-economic-trajectory/news-story/59a86b2eb423e03cee8b6d910045c3dd?fbclid=IwAR0EzeZByAiCFtvoFwPBamRcVZDiqCkpT_G_e98H5BSsa5U63pzx_gB3GzU
#Recession #Australia #Economy Economists are predicting that there is a 20% to 25% chance of Australia heading into recession within the next 12 months. While their hope is based on the Chinese domestic market supporting Australia, I’m more sceptical. References The good, the bad and the bumper sticker as Australia faces ‘20-25 per cent chance […]
#Recession #BondRates #InvertedYieldCurve Fears of a US and global recession are growing, with huge stock market drops and other indicators predicting a recession. Do we only have 15 months time until a United State recession? How will it affect Australia? References 5 things investors need to know about an inverted yield curve https://www.marketwatch.com/story/5-things-investors-need-to-know-about-an-inverted-yield-curve-2019-08-14 ‘Crazy inverted […]
#WageGrowth #Australia #Recession Wage growth stalled even with significant growth in portions of the public sector. Wage growth has been below average for years and does not appear to change that pattern within the foreseeable future. References https://tradingeconomics.com/australia/wage-growth https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-08-14/wage-growth-remains-stagnant-in-q2/11412228?section=business
#ConsumerConfidence #Westpac #Retail Westpac has reported that Consumer Confidence is up in August. A sign that the retail recession is turning around or simply the result of the tax rebate and the start of a new financial year? Let’s make sure to check next month when people receive the credit card bills. References Investopia Westpac […]
Unemployment #Recession #Retail JB Hi-Fi has bucked the trend and avoided the impact of the retail recession. A turn-around or simply a result of their product brand a people naively spending a tax-cut like a handout? References JB Hi-Fi announces strong profit, despite bleak retail conditions https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-08-12/jb-hi-fi-results-profit-tough-retail-sector/11404608?section=business
#Unemployment #Recession #Economy Market Economists are predicting Australia’s Unemployment rate will rise late this week. That would seem to align with the recent news about the retail recession that is underway. References Wage and unemployment numbers set to pressure RBA to cut interest rates again https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-08-11/interest-rates-under-pressure-again-from-wage-jobs-figures/11398864?section=business Roy Morgan Employment Estimates (1999-2019) https://www.roymorgan.com/morganpoll/unemployment/estimates-detailed